ICICI Bank Report Forecasts Extended RBI Policy Rate Pause

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RBI to maintain prolonged policy rate pause, says ICICI Bank report

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News18•21-02-2026, 08:45

RBI to maintain prolonged policy rate pause, says ICICI Bank report

•ICICI Bank Global Markets expects a prolonged policy rate pause until 2026-27 due to benign core inflation.
•Unlikely inflation upside shocks, coupled with recent oil price increases, support the rate pause.
•Monetary policy meeting minutes show an optimistic growth outlook, with H1-2026-27 growth revised upwards by 20 basis points.
•Inflation outlook remains benign despite upside revision to CPI projections due to higher precious metal prices.
•RBI's MPC unanimously kept the policy repo rate unchanged at 5.25% on February 6, maintaining a neutral stance.

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