US Military Action in Iran Risks Nuclear Cascade, Global Instability
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News18•30-01-2026, 10:30
US Military Action in Iran Risks Nuclear Cascade, Global Instability
- •President Trump intensified threats against Iran, moving military assets like the USS Abraham Lincoln within striking distance, demanding an end to uranium enrichment, ballistic missile limits, and cessation of proxy support.
- •A scholar warns that US military action could lead to widespread unintended consequences, including accelerated global nuclear proliferation, even if the Iranian government survives.
- •Iran is a "threshold state" with technical nuclear capacity; destabilizing it risks loss of centralized control over nuclear material, monetization of expertise, and a race for deterrence.
- •Historical examples like Libya and Ukraine, which abandoned nuclear programs or arsenals for security assurances, later faced invasions or regime change, suggesting that restraint does not guarantee safety.
- •Military strikes undermine the IAEA's credibility and the international non-proliferation architecture, as compliance offers no protection, potentially leading other nations to pursue nuclear weapons.
Why It Matters: US military action against Iran could trigger a regional and global nuclear cascade, undermining non-proliferation efforts.
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