Morgan Stanley Projects India's Nominal GDP to Reach 10-10.5% by FY27 on Improved Trade Clarity

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India's Nominal GDP to Hit 10-10.5% by FY27 as Trade Clarity Improves: Morgan Stanley

India: One of the Fastest-Growing Major Economies | India has recorded one of the strongest long-term growth trajectories since 1980. Its GDP rose from under $200 billion to more than $4.1 trillion by 2025, placing it among the world’s top five economies. (Image: Canva)

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CNBC TV18•25-02-2026, 14:22

India's Nominal GDP to Hit 10-10.5% by FY27 as Trade Clarity Improves: Morgan Stanley

•Morgan Stanley projects India's nominal GDP to reach 10-10.5% in FY27, driven by improved trade clarity.
•Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya notes tariffs were less severe than feared, with April 2025 escalations quickly rolled back.
•Growth stabilized and inflation is expected to firm up, supporting the return to higher nominal GDP growth.
•Weak domestic demand, a global industrial slowdown, and China's deflation helped control India's inflation.
•Ahya believes tariffs have peaked, supporting recovery in non-tech exports across Asia, including India.

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