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Morgan Stanley Forecasts 8% Private Credit Default Rates
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Morgan Stanley: Private Credit Defaults to Hit 8% Amid AI Software Disruption
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CNBC TV18
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17-03-2026, 10:07
Morgan Stanley: Private Credit Defaults to Hit 8% Amid AI Software Disruption
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Morgan Stanley forecasts private credit default rates to reach 8% due to AI disruption in the software industry.
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Elevated leverage and looming maturity walls within the software sector are key drivers, pushing defaults to near pandemic-era peaks.
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Software loans exhibit the highest leverage and lowest coverage ratios across major sectors, making them vulnerable.
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Significant maturity wall for software loans: 11% due in 2027, 20% in 2028, according to PitchBook data.
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Increased redemption requests in private credit funds, with Morgan Stanley and Cliffwater LLC capping withdrawals.
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