“The market expects improved visibility for the defence sector, with incremental allocations largely directed towards drones, arms and ammunition, defence electronics and indigenisation,” according to, Ankit Soni, AVP Fundamental Research, Mirae Asset ShareKhan.
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Moneycontrol14-01-2026, 09:28

Budget 2026: Markets Eye 8-10% Defence Outlay Hike, Seek Execution Momentum

  • Markets anticipate an 8-10% increase in the defence budget for 2026, with anything above 10% considered a positive surprise.
  • Allocations are expected to prioritize drones, arms and ammunition, and defence electronics, aligning with operational needs and indigenization.
  • The focus has shifted from mere announcements to execution momentum, faster DAC approvals, and clearer timelines for order conversion.
  • Key trends include increased emphasis on drones, counter-UAV systems, missiles, air defence, and defence electronics.
  • Challenges persist with slow conversion of capital expenditure into orders, execution delays, supply-chain issues, and working-capital pressures for PSUs.

Why It Matters: Markets expect a moderate defence budget hike but prioritize execution and order conversion over just allocations.

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