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INVasset PMS' Anirudh Garg: Oil Price Hikes Threaten Trade & Inflation, Yet Macro Economy Stays Resilient
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Oil Price Pressures May Hit Trade, Inflation, But Macro Remains Resilient: INVasset PMS
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Moneycontrol
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02-03-2026, 06:29
Oil Price Pressures May Hit Trade, Inflation, But Macro Remains Resilient: INVasset PMS
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Anirudh Garg of INVasset PMS states that prolonged oil price pressure could impact trade balances and inflation for oil importers like India.
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He believes current macroeconomic conditions show resilience, and earnings risk is selective unless crude prices persist at elevated levels.
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A full-fledged US-Iran war is a low-probability but high-impact risk, with current actions appearing calibrated.
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Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could sharply lift crude prices, affecting fuel costs and headline inflation.
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Energy, defense, and cybersecurity sectors are in focus, while aviation, paint, and tire industries are vulnerable to sustained fuel price increases.
Read Full Article on Moneycontrol in English
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