India Must Brace for Increased Arms Smuggling if Iran's Government Collapses
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Iran Collapse: India Must Brace for Surge in Weapons Smuggling, Not Just Energy Crisis
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Firstpost•20-03-2026, 11:56
Iran Collapse: India Must Brace for Surge in Weapons Smuggling, Not Just Energy Crisis
•The primary threat to India from a potential Iran collapse is not high energy prices or refugees, but loose weapons falling into extremist hands.
•Decades of mismanagement and sanctions have left Iran unable to refine enough petrol and diesel, making it reliant on imports through the Strait of Hormuz.
•If the Islamic Republic collapses, weapons depots in Iran's 31 provinces could be looted by Guardsmen or rival groups, flooding the black market.
•Historical precedents like Al-Qaqaa in Iraq and Libya's weapons depots show the danger of unsecured arms fueling regional instability and insurgencies.
•Loose weaponry could flood Pakistan, potentially arming anti-India extremist groups like those in Kashmir and Khalistan, or even criminal elements within India.
